Posts Tagged ‘Credit crunch’

VietFinanceNews.com – Industry insiders are expecting a more stable dong-dollar exchange rate and stricter dollar lending in 2012.

In early 2012, State Bank (SBV) governor Nguyen Van Binh confirmed the foreign exchange market would be on an even keel with the dong-dollar exchange rate fluctuating between 2 to 3 per cent in the year.

Binh also forecast a surplus of around $3 billion in the country’s general balance of payments in 2012.

SBV’s Ho Chi Minh City branch deputy director Nguyen Ngoc Thang assumed the city’s foreign currency market was relatively stable with a sharp fall in dollar speculation against some previous years. (more…)

VietFinanceNews.com – Vietnam is forecast to have GDP growth rate of 5.7% in 2012, compared to the government’s target of 6.0-6.5%, HSBC Global Economics Research Team wrote in its Macro Asian Economics Q1/2012.

HSBC Global Research said:

Despite sluggish global growth and challenging domestic conditions, Vietnam’s growth momentum has been impressive. GDP expanded 6.1% y-o-y in 3Q 11 (versus 5.7% in 2Q 11) thanks to robust exports and domestic demand. We expect GDP growth of 5.8% in 2011 and 5.7% in 2012 (the government’s target is 6.0-6.5% for 2012). (more…)

VietFinanceNews.com – Vietnam’s dong advanced to its strongest level in a month after the central bank said inflation would slow. Government bonds were steady.

Consumer prices will rise less than 12 percent at worst and about 8.5 percent in a “good” scenario, central bank Governor Nguyen Van Binh said on Jan. 12. Inflation in the $104 billion economy was 18.1 percent in December. The dong will depreciate 2 percent to 3 percent this year, Binh said. That would be the least since 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. (more…)

VietFinanceNews.com – International rating agency Fitch has retained Vietnam’s long-term debt rating at ‘B+’ and said this grade would be maintained if the Vietnamese government continues to tighten monetary policy.

Vietnam’s national ratings were also unchanged at B+ and the country’s short-term debt rating in foreign currencies also remained unchanged at B.

(more…)